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Author Archives: Charles Duelfer
Iran Nuclear Intel Dwarfs the Data on Iraq
Comparisons between the intelligence assessments of nuclear weapons activities on the part of Saddam’s Iraq and today’s Iran are misleading. Certainly the pre-war intelligence assessments concerning Saddam’s nuclear weapons programs were wildly wrong. However, they were produced from astonishingly small … Continue reading
Posted in Iran
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The Next Year in Iraq — More Chaos
The bombings in Iraq this week point to two clear aspects of the situation in Iraq. One, the government can not provide security. Second, there are powerful forces who are not committed to the current government. These two points are … Continue reading
Posted in Iraq
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Closing UK Embassy in Tehran–There is a cost…
Closing the respective embassies in Tehran and London may have been inevitable for political reasons, but there is a cost to this action. Two governments that already have a poor understanding of one another will now have even less contact … Continue reading
Intelligence Funding Trends
Below are two charts on intelligence funding I did for an article in National Interest . These show funding trends (in constant 2012 dollars) for the National Intelligence Programs budget (NIP) and the NIP as a percent of overall DOD … Continue reading
Posted in Intelligence
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The Real Change in Iraq
President Obama is doing the equivalent of the “Moonwalk” out of Iraq. There have been negotiations concerning the potential retention of US forces, but without success. It is not clear either side would welcome success. Maliki has no use for … Continue reading