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Category Archives: WMD
The Syrian Framework Agreement
The Framework agreement and its two annexes get many things right. The burden of proof and all the heavy lifting are on Syria. The UN weapons inspectors are meant to verify Syrian declarations, direct the aggregation and ultimate disposal of … Continue reading
Lavrov-Kerry Agreement on Syria-Now What?
Sometimes things work out. This may be one of those occasions. It appears the US has agreed with the general Lavrov proposition that an arrangement similar to what was imposed upon Saddam in the 1990’s be applied to Syria. This … Continue reading
Posted in Iraq, Syria CW, United Nations, WMD
Tagged CW, Kerry, Lavrov, Norway, Sergey Lavrov, Syria, UN Security Council
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Lavrov’s Plan
Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov has offered a plan that could provide a way out of the Obammá Syrian dilemma. Lavrov, who was Russian ambassador to the UN during the height of the Iraqi-UN weapons inspection activities, seems to have … Continue reading
Posted in Intelligence, Iran, Syria CW, United Nations, WMD
Tagged Duelfer, Lavrov Susan Rice, Syria, UN, weapons inspectors
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At times like this, What would Saddam do?
Among the various rationales expressed for a military strike on Syria is that need to make Bashir al-Assad pay a price for using CW. But what does Bashir value? We learned from debriefing Saddam that his value structure was much … Continue reading
Posted in Intelligence, Syria CW, United Nations, WMD
Tagged CW, Lavrov, Russia, Syria, United Nations
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Obama’s Speech to the UNGA: Two very different Versions
On September 17, will President Obama be explaining to the UN General Assembly why the US acted alone to respond to Syrian atrocities when the UN would not, or will he be chastising the UN for a lack of action, … Continue reading
Posted in Intelligence, Iraq, Syria CW, United Nations, WMD
Tagged Intelligence, President Obama and Syria, Syria WMD, UN General Assembly, United Nations
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Syria CW: How Can We Make it Worse?
Answer: The United States could destroy Bashir’s control over his chemical weapons. ForeignPolicy.com and others report that communications intercepts suggest some confusion over the order to use CW. If you were to make a list of things to worry about, … Continue reading
Posted in Intelligence, Syria CW, Uncategorized, WMD
Tagged Chemical Weapons, Syrian CW, WMD
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Response to US attack – Cyber?
It is hard to imagine Moscow or Tehran or Damascus doing absolutely nothing in response to a US attack. Will it be Cyber? If I were Russian Foreign Minister Lavrov, that’s what I would be talking about with President Putin. … Continue reading
Posted in Intelligence, Iran, Syria CW, WMD
Tagged CW, Cyber, Intelligence, Syria, WMD
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Sniper Attacks on UN Inspectors – Not Surprising
Dr. Ake Seltron’s UN inspection team has now drawn sniper fire. Unfortunately, the UN inspectors are easy targets. To do their job, they have to be out in the open. Using highly visible UN SUVs may be questionable, but committed … Continue reading
Posted in Intelligence, Iran, Syria CW, Uncategorized, WMD
Tagged CW, Syria, Weapons Inspections
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Syrian Agreement for Inspections–Why?
If Damascus is permitting the weapons inspectors access to the sites of recent apparent CW attack sites (as reported Sunday 25 August 2013) then why, if they had a role in the recent attacks? First, the weapons inspectors are only … Continue reading
Posted in Intelligence, Iran, Syria CW, Uncategorized, WMD
Tagged CW, Intelligence, Syria, Weapons Inspections
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Syria CW Use: Who crossed whose red-line?
Did Bashir cross Obama’s redline, or the other way around? The perspective in Damascus may be different. The Syrian situation has taken yet another turn for the worse. Which is to say it has become even more unpredictable. The apparent … Continue reading
Posted in Intelligence, Iran, Syria CW, Uncategorized, WMD
Tagged CW, Syria, weapons inspectors, WMD
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